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Washington, D.C. — July 9, 2025

Former President Donald Trump has issued a stark warning to Brazil, threatening to impose a 50% tariff on Brazilian imports to the United States in response to the ongoing trial of former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro. The move comes as Bolsonaro faces charges in Brazil related to alleged election interference and abuse of power during his time in office.

Trump, who remains a dominant figure in the Republican Party and is widely seen as a likely contender in the 2028 presidential election, made the comments in a post on his social media platform, Truth Social, on Tuesday morning. He accused the Brazilian government of conducting a "politically motivated witch hunt" against Bolsonaro, a right-wing ally and frequent Trump supporter.

Escalating Tensions Over Legal Proceedings

The trial of Jair Bolsonaro, which began last week in Brasília, has drawn international attention. Prosecutors allege that Bolsonaro attempted to undermine Brazil's 2022 presidential election, which he narrowly lost to current President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Bolsonaro has denied all charges, describing the proceedings as "politically orchestrated" and calling for international support.

Trump's threat marks a significant escalation in U.S.-Brazil relations. If enacted, the proposed 50% tariff would affect a wide range of Brazilian exports, including agricultural goods, minerals, and manufactured products. The United States is one of Brazil's largest trading partners, and such tariffs could have substantial economic consequences for both countries.

International and Domestic Reaction

The Biden administration has yet to comment on Trump's remarks, but analysts warn that the threat could further strain diplomatic ties. Brazil's Ministry of Foreign Affairs issued a statement expressing "concern over attempts to interfere in Brazil's independent judicial process," while emphasizing the importance of continued trade cooperation with the U.S.

  • Brazil is the world’s largest exporter of soybeans, coffee, and beef, much of which is destined for the U.S. market.
  • American companies with significant operations in Brazil, including in the automotive and energy sectors, are closely monitoring the situation.

Political observers note that Trump’s intervention could influence the domestic political climate in Brazil, where supporters and opponents of Bolsonaro are deeply polarized. The potential tariffs have also sparked concern among U.S. importers and consumers, who could see price increases on key goods if the threat is carried out.

Outlook for U.S.-Brazil Trade

Most trade experts agree that any unilateral tariff decision would require executive authority, which Trump currently does not hold. However, his comments underscore the geopolitical risks linked to high-profile legal cases involving major global figures. The White House and U.S. Trade Representative have not indicated any intention to alter current trade policy with Brazil.

The Bolsonaro trial is expected to continue over the coming weeks, with verdicts anticipated by late August. The international community is closely watching both the legal proceedings and the evolving rhetoric from political leaders in the United States.

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